2023-2032年农业展望.pdf

The Agrcultural Outlook 2023-2032 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operationand Development (OECD)and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)of the United Nations.It bringstogether the commodity,policy and country expertise of both orgarisations and input from collaboratingmember countries to provide an annual assessment of prospects for the coming decade of national,regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
The Agricutural Outlook is prepared jointly by the OECD and FAO Secretariats.
At the OECD,the baseline projections and Outook report were prepared by members of the Trade andAgriculture Directorate:Marcel Adenäuer,Annelies Deuss,Armelle Elasri(publication co-ordinator),Hubertus Gay(Outlook co-ordinator),Celine Giner,Gaelle Gouarin,Tomoo Higuchi,Lee Ann Jackson(Head of Division),Edith Laget,Claude Nenert,Daniela Rodriguez Niio,and Gregoire Tallard of the Agro-Food Trade and Markets Division,and for fish and seafood by Claire Delpeuch and Will Symes of theAgricultural Res ources Policy Division.The partial stochastic modelling builds on work by the Economicsof Agriculture Unit of the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre.The organisation of meetingsand publication preparation were provided by Caitlin Boros,Edmund Linton,Catalina Mas,andMichele Patterson.Wlfrid Legg provided language review for the publication.Technical assistance in thepreparation of the Outlook database was provided by Karine Lepron,Marc Regnier and Eric Espinasse.Many other colleagues in the OECD Secretariat and member courtry delegations provided usefulcomments on earlier drafts of the report.
Atthe Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations,the baseline projections and Outlook reportwere prepared by members of the Markets and Trade Division (EST)under the leadership of BoubakerBen-Belhassen(EST Division Director),with the overall guidance of Maximo Torero(FAO ChiefEconomist)and by the Economic and Social Development Stream Management team.The coreprojections team consisted of.Sabine Altendorf,Sergio Rene Araujo Enciso,Giulia Caddeo,AndreCroppenstedt,Holger Matthey (Team Leader),Svetlana Mladenovic,Sabina Tuspayeva and Irmak Yaka.For fish,the team consisted of Pierre Charlebois,Adrienne Egger,and Stefania Vannuccini from the FAOFisheries and Aquaculture Division.Advice on fishmeal and fish oil issues and historical data were providedby Enrico Bachis from the Marine Ingredients Organisation (IFFO).Macroeconomic projections benefitedfrom the input by Oxford Economics.The sugar and cotton sections were contnibuted by Mamoun Amroukand Fabio Palmeri,with data and technical advice by Lorena Ruiz from the International Cotton AdvisoryCommittee(ICAC).The section on bananas and major tropical fruits was prepared by Sabine Altendorf,Giuseppe Bonavita and Pascal Liu.Carola Fabi,Salar Tayyib and Francesco Tubiello advised onFAOSTAT data.Commodity expertise was provided by Erin Collier,Shirley Mustafa,G.A.UpaliWckramasinghe,and Di Yang.Marion Delport and Jodie Hatingh from the Bureau for Food andAgricultural Policy(BFAP)contributed material and expertise to Box 1.1.Research assistance anddatabase preparation were provided by David Bedford,Harout Dekermendjian,Arnamaria Giusti,GraceMaria Karumathy,Yanyun Li,Lavinia Lucarelli,Emanuele Marocco,and Marco Milo.This edition alsobenefited from comments made by various colleagues from FAO and member country institutions.The

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